Your Potential Reach Is Lying To You
Marketing Realities
Your Potential Reach Is Lying To You
Why the marketing industry sells you the sky while ignoring the ground beneath your feet.
Gus stands in his wood shop and he looks at a stack of cedar that he bought from a man who promised him it was enough to build a wrap-around deck for a family of six and the wood is beautiful and it smells like the Pacific Northwest and the grains are tight and red. Gus has the blueprints on his workbench and he has his tools lined up and he has spent the last dreaming about the finished project and the way the light will hit the boards in the evening but when he starts to measure and when he starts to cut he realizes that the salesman was talking about a world where wood has no knots and where every board is perfectly straight and where nobody ever makes a mistake with a saw.
The salesman sold him a ceiling and he told Gus that he had the potential to build the biggest deck in the county but he did not mention that the floor of his reality was much lower and now Gus is looking at a pile of scrap and he realizes he will be lucky if he can finish a small porch for two.
The 2,140,480 Ghost
Selma is sitting at her desk and she is looking at a marketing tool that she paid eighty dollars for and the screen is glowing with a number that makes her heart beat faster and the tool tells her that her new video has a potential reach of people. She is a creator in Berlin and she has been working on her channel for and she has felt the slow grind of the early days where every new subscriber feels like a miracle and every comment feels like a gift and now this number is telling her that she is standing on the edge of greatness.
The “theoretical maximum” that tools use to keep us hooked.
She looks at that two million and she sees it as a target and she sees it as a promise of what is about to happen because the word potential sounds like a seed that is guaranteed to sprout if you just give it enough water. She starts to imagine the sponsorship deals and she starts to think about the way she will tell her parents that she can finally quit the job at the cafe and she feels a rush of energy that carries her through the next of editing and she pushes the publish button with a finger that is shaking with excitement.
But the number is a ghost and it is a trick of the light and it is a theoretical maximum that exists only in a vacuum where every variable is set to perfect and where every human being on the internet is waiting with their breath held for her specific video to drop. The tool arrived at that number by adding up every person who has ever shown a fleeting interest in her niche and every person who lives in her target geography and every person who follows a similar account and it treats them all as if they are a captive audience.
1,000,000
Busy raising children
500,000
Currently at work
300,000
Haven’t logged in for
It ignores the fact that a million of those people are busy raising children and half a million of them are at work and several hundred thousand of them have not logged into their accounts in three weeks and the rest are currently arguing about politics or looking at pictures of cats. The number represents a ceiling that she will never touch and it is the absolute highest point the water could reach if a tidal wave hit the coast but the tool presents it to her as if it is the level of the tide she should expect on a Tuesday afternoon.
The Foundation Failure
I did the same thing yesterday when I sent an email to a new client and I was so focused on the big picture and the potential of the project that I hit send before I attached the file and I stood there looking at my outbox and I felt like a fool because I had sold them on a vision of a finished product and I had not even given them the basic materials to look at.
We get so caught up in the high numbers and the big promises that we forget to check if the foundation is actually there and we forget that a potential of two million means nothing if the floor of our reach is only twenty-five people.
When Selma checks her stats and she sees that her video reached 2,140 people she feels like a total failure and she feels like she has done something wrong and she wonders if the algorithm hates her or if her content is actually terrible even though her engagement rate is higher than it has ever been.
She is measuring her success against the ceiling of two million instead of measuring it against the floor of her previous work and she is letting an impossible number steal the joy from a very real victory because 2,140 people is still a lot of people and it is enough to fill a theater and it is enough to start a real conversation. But the tool gave her a promise that it could never keep and it framed an extreme upper bound as a reasonable expectation and now she is ready to give up because she thinks she missed the mark by a mile when she actually hit the center of the target for where she is in her journey.
The Third-Shift Baker
Aiden B.K. is a third-shift baker who spends his nights covered in flour and he knows more about expectations than most of the marketing experts I have met in the city. He stands by his industrial mixer and he watches the dough rise and he told me once that a bag of flour might say it makes sixty loaves on the side of the paper but that is only if you want the bread to be thin and sad.
“If you want the bread to be good and if you want it to nourish someone you have to accept that you are only getting forty-five out of it.”
– Aiden B.K., Baker
He understands that the maximum is not the goal and he knows that the potential of the ingredients is different from the reality of the oven and he does not feel like a failure when he ends the night with fewer loaves than the label suggested because he knows the quality of the floor is more important than the height of the ceiling.
This is where a lot of creators get lost in the woods because they are looking for a shortcut to that two million and they are looking for a way to turn the potential into a reality without building the structure that can actually hold that much weight. They see the big numbers on other channels and they think there is a secret or a hack and they forget that those channels spent years building a floor that is high enough to reach the rafters and they forget that social proof is a brick-by-brick process.
If you are starting a channel in Germany and you are trying to break through the noise you have to be honest about where you are starting and you have to realize that the first few hundred people are the hardest to get because nobody wants to be the first person at a party and nobody wants to subscribe to a channel that looks like a ghost town.
Raising the Foundation
This is the gap where a service like Nodedi actually makes sense because it is not about selling you a fake ceiling or promising you that you will hit two million views overnight with no effort. It is about raising the floor so that when a real person lands on your page they see that someone else has already been there and they see that the room is not empty and they feel like it is safe to stay for a while.
When you decide to abonnenten kaufen youtube you are not buying a miracle and you are not buying the potential reach that the tools lie to you about but you are buying a bit of ground to stand on so that you can start building for real. It is a way to make the realistic goals feel attainable by removing the stigma of starting at zero and it is about creating the appearance of a foundation so that the real growth has a place to take root.
The marketing industry loves to sell the sky because the sky is infinite and it costs nothing to point at it and tell someone they can reach it if they just try hard enough or buy the right software. They sell the ceiling as if it were the floor because it keeps people motivated and it keeps them spending money on tools that track metrics that do not actually matter in the day-to-day grind of creating something of value.
If you tell a runner that they have the potential to break the world record they might train harder for a week but if they realize they are still three minutes behind the record they might quit out of frustration but if you tell them they have the potential to shave five seconds off their best time they will keep showing up at the track every single morning.
We need to stop looking at the theoretical maximums as if they are our personal failures and we need to start looking at the tools for what they are which is just a way to map out the edges of the room. Selma is not a failure because she did not hit two million and she is a success because she reached and she did it with content that she cares about and she did it in a way that is sustainable for her life.
The Quiet Work of Community
She is learning that the noise of the big numbers is just a distraction from the quiet work of building a community and she is starting to see that the floor is where the actual life happens. If you are a business or a creator and you are looking at your dashboard and you feel like the world is passing you by because your reach is not hitting the millions you need to take a step back and look at the actual people who are showing up for you.
You need to look at the comments and the likes and the shares and you need to realize that those are real humans and they are not just data points in a potential reach calculation. The growth that lasts is the growth that is built on a solid floor and it is the growth that acknowledges the reality of the market and the difficulty of the climb.
Nodedi understands this because they focus on the German market where people value reliability and where they value a professional presentation and they know that a channel with a few hundred subscribers looks a lot more credible than a channel with five. It is about the social proof that allows you to start the engine and it is about making sure that the ceiling is something you build toward instead of something you use to beat yourself over the head with.
The bread does not rise to meet the ceiling just because the kitchen is tall.
We are all trying to reach the top but we have to remember that the view from the ceiling is only good if the floor is strong enough to keep us from falling back to the start.
The Finished Porch
Gus eventually finished his porch and it was not the giant deck that the salesman had described but it was sturdy and it was well-built and it was exactly what his family needed for the summer. He stopped looking at the blueprints for the mansion and he started looking at the wood he actually had in his hands and he found a lot of peace in that shift of perspective.
We can all find that peace if we stop letting the potential reach numbers define our worth and if we start focusing on the actual reach that we have earned through our work and our persistence and our willingness to stand on the floor we have built.